Literaturhinweis: George Soros' Theory of Reflexivity
Finde ich ja nicht unspannend.
Stated simply, the interaction in any complex system of unfolding events and participants’ reactions to those events creates a dynamic disequilibrium that leads to unpredictable, unexpected future results. In other words, our collective reaction to ever-changing data points ruins any predictability that might have otherwise come about from that data.
General Theory of Reflexivity https://www.ft.com/content/0ca06172-bfe9-11de-aed2-00144feab49a
Video Bloomberg - 5min https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SyT70VJ7cM
George Soros Lecture Series: General Theory of Reflexivity - 52min https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCaCrWzFPYY
Fallibility, reflexivity, and the human uncertainty principle - George Soros http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1350178X.2013.859415
weitere http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/02/cathy-oneil-economists-dont-understand-the-finan...