Strategic Trends: Introduction

Strategic Trends is an independent view of the future produced by the Development,
Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC), a Directorate General within the UK’s Ministry of
Defence (MOD). It is a source document for the development of UK Defence Policy.

This edition of Strategic Trends is benchmarked at December 2006. It is a live
document and will be updated regularly on our website as new thinking emerges and
trends develop.
Articles will be added to the website periodically to cover specific topics in greater detail.

Although extensive efforts have been made to verify facts contained in Strategic Trends,
readers are cheerfully invited to inform the DCDC of any inconsistencies or inaccuracies.

Conditions of Release

The findings contained in this edition of Strategic Trends do not represent an official
position of Her Majesty’s Government or the UK MOD.

Departmental Direction

Strategic Trends is part of the UK MOD Strategic Context Process, from which the
Department derives guidance about strategic challenges and opportunities, which is used
to shape the UK’s future Defence requirements. MOD direction on the DCDC Strategic
Trends programme stresses the requirement for a comprehensive, independent
approach:

DCDC’s Strategic Trends Programme should aim to provide a detailed analysis of the
future strategic context for Defence out to 30 years. This will be an essential input into
policy development and major outputs include:

• A historically and theme-based analysis of the future strategic context;
• Analysis of the key risks and shocks, including an assessment of their
probability, frequency and magnitude;
• Identification of the generic Defence and Security implications of this analysis.

Building on previous editions of Strategic Trends, the analysis should adopt a
comprehensive approach to the key drivers and deduce the salient themes out to 30 years. The analysis should also present a ‘stock-take’ of those developments likely to

...

Hier der Link.

http://www.cuttingthroughthematrix.com/articles/strat_trends_23jan07.pdf